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now up 54% using safe investments during this bear market)
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Click on link: "Psychology of the
(Also available to Subscriber's in the archives)
As you begin to read this I would like to bring you
up to date on my view of what I see happening in the economy and in the
If you're still holding some stocks in the hopes
you'll get your money back, you may not like what you're about to read.
However you are probably here because you didn't like the results of the
investment advice you've been receiving over the last three years.
Later on I'll explain why I see no future for stock
prices at these levels and why I expect them to fall much farther before
the real bottom has been established. But first I would like you to know
that we've had a well thought out strategy to profit as this bear market
started to unfold. The first part of my strategy was introduced in
October 1999 when my model warned that the Great Bull Market for stocks
was coming to an end. Since that time many investors have lost 40% to 50%
or more during a period when over $8 trillion in equity value was being
vaporized in the stock market. And it's probably going to get worse...a
lot worse. The odds that the Dow could lose another 30 to 40% are
extremely high at this time in spite of claims by Wall Street that this
is now a "stock pickers market", meaning you still need them to
pick the stocks for you. In addition to problems in the stock market
there is growing evidence that we may be nearing a
deflationary/depression that could see a collapse of assets including
stocks, real estate and corporate bonds.
Does this statement
"My broker has been telling me
repeatedly over the last 2 years to sit tight and ride this out...the
market will recover and I'll soon be glad I didn't sell. Well I took his
advice and now my investments are down over 40%...and I'm starting to
If it does, you're not
That's not the kind of advice that you'll hear from
me and that's not the kind of advice that has enabled our subscribers'
investments to grow by over 54% since the beginning of this bear market.
I expect to be making some additional recommendations soon that
have the potential to be much more profitable as the events that I expect
to happen, start to unfold.
So if you think that we may have something of
interest and you want to know more about how we plan on doing even better
in the near future, I hope you'll read on.
Here's what we did during the first phase of our
*Out of consideration for our paying
subscribers, references to investments are made in general terms only.
1. Government Debt Instruments* are
being used to preserve our core capital that had been accumulated during
the Great Bull Market. As the economy continues to weaken, interest rates
will fall and these debt instruments will appreciate in value, and could
conceivably be worth 200% or more of their original purchase price.
On October 25th 1999 Jim Shepherd's model issued a
sell signal. This sell signal was the first warning that a bear market
was probably on the way. Subscribers were advised to sell all
stocks and to prepare to start using an alternative investment (1 above)
that would be extremely safe and would benefit from the approaching
changes the model was predicting. The strategy worked perfectly and
this new investment has increased in value by over 54%.
As the changes in the economy and the stock market
unfold we are preparing to use at least three more strategies and we
expect some of these additional strategies to be many times more
profitable than our first one (these are listed below, 2 through 4). As
you read this we may have already taken further steps depending on the
model. As these additional strategies are employed they will not be
disclosed to the press or the public until several months later.
2. A bear market Mutual Fund* which has a
value that is inverse (opposite) to the performance of the S&P 500
Index. If the S&P were to collapse or continue to drift lower losing
50 to 60% of its value (a distinct possibility) this fund would increase
in value by an equal amount providing a possible return of 200% or more.
3. High Beta Government Debt Instruments*
(there are several types that may be recommended depending on
circumstances at the time) that offer rapid appreciation in the event of
a stock market collapse. The value of these instruments could appreciate
by as much as 500% or more.
4. Leveraged Instruments* will be used
for maximum profit in the event that an imminent crash signal is received
from the model. These instruments will explode in value as the market
collapses and could provide returns that may exceed the 6700% gains
realized by Jim Shepherd and his clients during the 1987 crash. (Leveraged
instruments are not recommended for all investors)
Correct timing is the
The correct timing to use these investments has
been, and will continue to be, critical to profit from them.
Although Jim Shepherd's model was probably the very first to warn of the
current bear market it has not reached a point called
"critical mass", that would be a further warning of an imminent
crash. Jim's model issued a sell signal on September 8th 1987 and
then reached critical mass in the first week of October of that year. The
market started to crash on October 16th and saw its biggest one day drop
in history on October 19th 1987.
Although the majority of the
signals are of a long-term directional basis, Jim will on occasion
identify and notify subscribers about approaching short-term technical
changes that he has identified. One of those occurrences took place
During the week of July 22nd,
2002 he told subscribers to expect a technical rally that could take the
Dow (then below 7800) to around the 9000 level. On July 24th the rally
began and by July 30th the Dow had rallied back to around 8700 before the
rally was temporarily derailed. The stock market began to sell-off again
following the release of revised GDP data that showed the economy had
actually experienced three quarters of negative growth instead of only
one. This sell-off lasted about a week until August 6th when Jim advised
subscribers to expect the resumption of the rally toward Dow 9000 again.
These powerful bear market rallies can be expected from time to time but
should not be considered to be true market bottoms. This market remains
very dangerous and when selling resumes again the market could quickly
surpass its recent lows.
Was it just luck?
Some of our competitors and some of the advisors
and analysts on Wall Street would like you to believe it was just luck.
However, since Jim started using his model, it has issued 11 signals,
(all of them correct) warning of an approaching change, either up
or down, of the US markets.
In Jim's introduction he told you he'd explain why
he sees no future for stock prices and why he expects them to fall much
farther. Here's the problems we face:
1. Stock prices remain more overvalued than
they were in the summer of 1929.
2. Earnings have been falling faster than
stock prices and he sees nothing to change that trend.
3. Debt remains perilously high for
consumers, corporations and governments.
4. Debt defaults are approaching levels not
seen since the 1930s.
5. Bankruptcies of major US corporations are
6. Scandals that are reminiscent of the
aftermath of the stock market crash of 1929 when many went to jail,
including the president of the New York Stock Exchange, resulting
in Wall Street becoming public enemy number one.
7. Jim has recently advised subscribers that
he has calculated the odds of the economy slipping into a severe
deflationary environment have risen recently to over 95%.
8. This is the first period of time since the Great
Depression that government debt instruments are outperforming
stocks. (Jim recommended them to subscribers in October 1999).
As you can see this is not a pretty picture and
does not give investors a lot of confidence to begin buying stocks again
in the near future. However for those of you who sense that things aren't
the way they should be, and who would like to know how they can profit
from this situation, we can offer you some well thought out, safe, and
timely investment recommendations.
We invite you to look through some of the other
information that you will find on this site that includes:
1. Articles about Jim Shepherd and his success
during the 1987 stock market crash. San
Diego Magazine and San
Diego Daily Transcript
2. Charts to show how a $10,000 investment in 1982
has grown to over $491,088 today by following the signals from Jim's
model. Investment Results
3. A Dow
chart showing each of the 11
buy and sell signals since 1982.
outline of the four strategies we are employing
to "Profit During A Bear or Collapsing Market"
Some of the prime benefits of our
No commissions to pay
No software to learn.
5 minutes per week on phone
Know about trend changes in advance.
Always be in the right asset class
when change is about to happen.
The annual fees have not changed since 1997.
2 year subscription.........(save
3 year subscription.........(save
Jim's Risk Free
Now again in Jim's words: The best part about this
is that I am offering this service risk free. Let me explain. In my
management business, I never charge a fee unless, and only if, my client
makes a profit. In my portfolio advisory business, where clients pay me
$20,000 and more per year to advise them on their overall portfolios, I
agree in writing to refund all fees if the advice is not profitable.
Editor's note: The
offering of this service is an adjunct, made possible by Jim's staff
looking after all administration, freeing Jim to concentrate on the
market. This allows us to offer this service at a SMALL FRACTION
of the above price!
As one of the advantages of having made a great
deal of money in the markets, I don't have the same financial pressures
that many advisors and stockbrokers do. I can afford to do things the way
they should be done. To me, that means that unless my clients make money,
I shouldn't either.
The offering of this guarantee is a little
different. Unlike my managed accounts where I offer a money back
guarantee - because I control everything - I have no control over the
action you take on my signal. In having no real control, I cannot take
responsibility for your profits or losses.
But what I do offer is a guarantee that is on
average 3 times the length of most newsletter services (normally 30
days). I offer a 90 day FULL money back GUARANTEE! NO QUESTIONS ASKED!
But of course, I do not anticipate that you would ask for your money
back, because, after using my model for the last 20 years, I know it
works perfectly every time. But if for any reason you are unhappy,
contact us within the 90 days for a 100% refund.
Summary - What You Will
- A timely "Buy Signal" that will
tell you when to buy back into the market and give advice about the
appropriate sectors and funds for the best possible growth.
- A timely "Sell Signal" to warn
you about approaching major problems in the stock market and
recommendations on alternate investments to use for safety and
- Occasional warnings or cautions when the
model detects short term changes in the market or in a particular
- A monthly written communiqué to keep you
informed about what the model sees approaching that could affect the
- A Week in Review of some important items
that may have an affect on the economy or the market. (On the website
- Audio Updates. Every Friday evening after
6PM EST a weekly update will be available by calling in by phone or on
our web site using Real Audio.
- Special Audio Updates when the Dow moves
approximately 3% or more in one day (presently set at 250 Dow points) -
after 6PM EST.
- Changes about asset classes: Jim will
relay in general terms what he is doing for his managed level clients.
- Your RISK FREE GUARANTEE - a full 90 Day
Unconditional Money back GUARANTEE (first time subscribers only).
- Great Savings for multiple year
subscriptions - up to $250 in savings offered!
- Reduce Your Stress. More than one
subscriber has made comments like "Finally I've found a way to
take the Fear and Greed out of my investment decisions...and it's a
So … if your portfolio is worth say $400,000 (and
for many, it could be much more) then an investment of only $375 per year
is sort of an insurance plan on your investments that costs less
than 1/10th of 1 percent… some spend that on brokerage fees for one
trade! This is the most inexpensive investment you may ever make!
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Still not Sure?
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would like to take advantage of Jim's outstanding expertise at this time,
perhaps allowing us to stay in touch with you from time to time with an
occasional special report that Jim produces may be of interest?
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