Financial Advise Stock Market Crash Great Depression Inflation Deflation Bear Market Jim Shepherd's financial advisor service uses a financial investment model that 
		accurately predicts the financial long-term changes in the US financial stock market. The financial investment model used by Jim's financial advisor 
		service predicted both the 1987 and 1929 stock market crashes. Many other smaller interim financial moves also were predicted, including the
		beginning of the 2000 Bear stock market in late 1999. Both inflation and the current descent toward deflation, that was responsible for the great
		depression, are measured by this same financial investment model that has been used to predict both bear markets and new bull markets,
		far in advance of anything available in the U.S. financial markets.
Saturday July 4, 2009  
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Money managers and brokers are the reason most investors buy near the top and sell near the bottom. Human nature dictates that being part of a herd is comfortable, especially if that comfort is reinforced by what you read, hear or see on TV. After all, arenít the majority usually correct? Unfortunately thatís seldom true when investing is involved. Do you know that few investors had any interest in stocks in 1982 when the latest bull market began? You probably remember that millions of investors lost trillions of dollars between 2000 and 2002 because they refused to believe that the bull market was ending. Were there any signals that it was time to begin buying stocks in 1982? Were there any warning signs before the 1987 crash? Were there any warning signs that the bull market was nearing an end in 1999? The answer is yes, if you knew where to look.

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All this and more
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FREE Financial Newsletters

#1 "If Wishes Were Horses,"
"Then Beggars Would Ride"
In this issue:
  • employment
  • mortage denial rates chart
  • real consumption chart
  • bear market rally
  • DJIA moving average chart
  • S&P; 500 Index moving average chart
  • Great Depression
Many believe that the economy has bottomed, the stock market has begun a new bull run, and everything will soon return to the normal they used to believe in before this nightmare started. Even the esteemed head of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, has stated that he believes the economy has stopped declining as dramatically, indicating that the worst is likely over and that growth should return as early as the end of this year. Is this a "wish" ... more

#2 American Capitalism
In this issue:
  • Worldwide economic crisis
  • Glass Steagall Act
  • Credit Default Swaps
  • Personal Saving Rate chart
  • Household Borrowing Rate chart
  • Intenational Monetary Fund- Producer Price Index
"We have been on high alert for the statistical evidence of deflation, because there is no environment that is more dangerous for traditional investmetns than that one. If you refer to the chart which depicts wholesale deflation (Producer Price Index) on a monthly year-over-year basis, you can see on the most recent bar (March 2009) shows a very large decline." ... more

#3 A Scared Prayer
Ain't Worth A Darn!
In this issue:
  • Financial Crisis 2008
  • Adjusted Monetary Base definition
  • Velocity of Money
  • Unemployment Rates
  • Nonfarm Payrolls data
  • Interest Rates U.S.
  • Inverted Yield Curve
  • Deflation graph
...the amount of monetary and fiscal stimuli that is being thrown at these problems is so dramatic that in the future we can be assured of a very nasty outbreak of inflation. Right now, as I will demonstrate, those latent forces are being crushed by the deflationary forces that are strengthening, but the point is that regulators are simply hoping to be able to contain a massive fire they are creating when it finally emerges. This will be highly unlikely.... more

Jim Shepherd
Jim Shepherd,
Founder and President

Global Economy Called Worst Since 1945

The global economy will most likely contract this year for the first time since World War II, and the recovery will take longer than expected.

International Monetary Fund
April 22, 2009